Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers odds, predictions, picks and best bets

The Atlanta Braves (58-37) go for a second straight victory over the Milwaukee Brewers (48-47) Tuesday at Miller Park. First pitch is set for 8:10 p.M. Eastern.

The Braves won Monday’s series opener by the score of 4-2 as starter Max Fried went five scoreless innings before leaving due to a blister.

Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers: Projected Starting Pitchers

RHP Bryse Wilson vs. RHP Brandon Woodruff.

Wilson has struggled through three starts and a relief appearance this season. His ERA sits at 6.14 with his 4.75 xFIP offering only slight hope for improvement. He is striking out a promising 9.20 batters per nine, but he’s walking 4.30 with an average of 1.84 home runs against per nine. He has left just 58.5 percent of base runners stranded and has allowed 10 runs (eight earned) over just 7 2/3 innings on the road. Last outing: Wilson picked up his first win, allowing just two earned runs over six innings against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Woodruff’s career season continues with a 3.67 ERA through 18 starts and 108 innings. It’s his first year as a full-time starter, and he’s striking out 10.50 batters against 2.08 walks per nine innings. His 3.33 xFIP shows he can get even better. Woodruff has been best at home with a 3.45 ERA. Last outing: The 26-year-old gave up just one run over six innings in a tough-luck loss against the Cincinnati Reds.

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Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers: By the Numbers

  • The Braves used four relievers for one inning apiece Monday compared to the Brewers’ two relievers totaling three innings. Each team hit one home run.
  • Monday’s win was Atlanta’s third in four meetings between the two clubs this season. It was the third straight game in the head-to-head series to finish below the projected total.
  • The Braves’ .794 team OPS against right-handed pitching ranks seventh in baseball. The Brewers’ .772 team rate in the split ranks 12th.
  • Atlanta’s bullpen ranks second in MLB with a collective ERA of 3.74. Milwaukee relievers own a 4.59 rate.
  • Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers: Key Injuries

    Braves OF Ender Inciarte is expected to be activated from the injured list sometime during the team’s upcoming homestand.

    Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers: Picks and Betting Tips

    Moneyline: Back the Brewers at -170 with Woodruff on the mound following a narrow loss in the series opener.

    Run line: Get better value on the home side with the +110 for Milwaukee to cover -1.5 and keep adding to Wilson’s struggles.

    Over/under: Grab the UNDER (9.5, -105) with Atlanta’s bullpen capable of shutting the door if Wilson is roughed up early.

    Esten’s July record: 20-29-2.

    Follow Esten on Twitter @EstenMcLaren.


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